Nine original campaign creatives reviewed; 19 new factual claim scores with approximate video locators, rebuttals and primary records. TV eligibility remains distinct from a claim rating. Existing debate coverage and prior ratings are preserved.
Archive catch-up: earlier release dates below do not imply these ads aired in the latest discovery window. Charts remain partial samples. A zero-claim chart means insufficient qualifying reviewed evidence.
Rob Sand, Ashley Hinson, Josh Turek and Mariannette Miller-Meeks now have explicit expanded archive ranges. New qualifying scores are separately listed; older scored entries were already included and are not counted again in the structured reconciliation.
Candidate
Before
After
Added TV claims
Rob Sand
3
10
+7
Josh Turek
8
9
+1
Ashley Hinson
7
10
+3
Mariannette Miller Meeks
0
2
+2
Across the site: 72 → 85 factual TV-ad claims and 28 → 34 distinct qualifying creatives. These are partial reviewed samples. Three newly reviewed videos remain TV-pending, and unscored statements never enter the denominator.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Members of Congress beat the S&P 500 by nearly 18% through stock trades.
The ad gives no comparison year, portfolio population or calculation. Gray could not independently reproduce this figure. The 2025 Unusual Whales report models disclosed portfolios and reports several different individual, party and ETF returns; those are not a single verified return for all members. Neither modeled outperformance nor a disclosure establishes insider trading.
The narrow claim about personally trading individual publicly listed shares is consistent with Gray’s disclosure review. Her household filings still list fund and ETF transactions and a spouse’s private insurance-company interest. Owning funds, holding private equity and actively trading individual public stocks are different activities; this is not a claim that her household has no investments. A yearly filing cannot establish every transaction through the ad’s date.
The official Clerk records Hinson voting Yea on H.R. 7008, House passage on July 22, 2026, Roll Call 280. The bill’s restrictions and exceptions must be read in its text. A vote for House passage establishes this action; it does not establish that the proposal was already enacted law or that it covers every investment vehicle.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:09–00:17
A broad political judgment and allegation of motive. No named trade or adjudicated insider-trading violation is identified in this creative. It is excluded from factual scoring.
TV status pending: these ratings do not enter the campaign-TV pie chart. Campaign sponsorship and original video verified. The release says statewide airing but does not explicitly identify television; qualifying broadcast documentation remains pending.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Turek missed roughly half the Iowa House votes in the 2026 session.
The audio includes Turek’s own approximate admission. Gray’s review of official daily journals found 58.1% absent or not voting across 2026 House floor votes, the second-highest rate in that chamber. This measures that session’s floor roll calls; it excludes committees, subcommittees and other representative duties. Gray also carried Turek’s explanation that he was meeting Iowans and his campaign’s separate career-wide attendance claim.
The numerator concerns floor roll calls, not working hours or every legislative duty. The underlying absences are real, but this broader conclusion is not measured by the journals.
The creative’s own interview excerpt expresses uncertainty about whether missed votes matter to Iowans. It does not establish a categorical belief that voters do not care. This assessment concerns the ad’s inference from the quoted response, not a finding about his private thoughts.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Too often, Iowa neighbors are hedge-fund-owned homes.
GAO documents institutional investment nationally, varying definitions and concentration in particular markets. It does not establish this creative’s Iowa-wide frequency. A corporate or LLC owner is not automatically a hedge fund. The claim needs identified Iowa ownership records and a denominator before its prevalence can be verified; absence of those records here does not prove no such purchases occur.
Iowa Code generally restricts foreign acquisition of agricultural land and provides exceptions and grandfathered holdings. USDA’s AFIDA report covers foreign interests, including long-term leases, and warns that reporting categories and indirect ownership can complicate country attribution. Total foreign-held Iowa acreage is not Chinese government ownership. The ad names no farm or ownership chain that establishes its suggested prevalence.
Iowa Revenue confirms substantial qualifying sales/use exemptions and partial refunds, including a full exemption tier requiring at least $200 million invested within six years. The ad gives no household bill, utility or period for the second part. IUC recognizes large-load cost-shifting risks and describes proposed protections. This supports the tax-benefit premise and a real policy concern, not a finding that a particular center caused a family’s rate increase.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Lahn lives in Kansas rather than being a full-time Iowan.
Reporting documents substantial Kansas ties and earlier Kansas voter participation, while Lahn says he moved to Iowa in 2023. His more recent Iowa registration and his response must be included. Multiple properties or travel do not settle exclusive domicile, daily whereabouts or constitutional eligibility. The ad’s categorical shorthand goes beyond what the reviewed chronology alone resolves.
The campaign attributes this to flight records, but this review did not obtain a reproducible complete tail-number/date/passenger ledger. Aircraft movements alone do not prove that Lahn was aboard, why a trip occurred or where he lived between flights. His Kansas business and family ties are independently reported; the precise campaign-travel inference remains unresolved.
Responsible campaign: Rob Sand. Creative: Heart. Released: 2026-09-02. Review: 1 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
TV status pending: these ratings do not enter the campaign-TV pie chart. Original campaign video verified. Television classification of this exact creative remains unresolved; excluded from the TV pie chart.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Lahn wants private-school vouchers without accountability.
Lahn supports ESAs and broader eligibility for innovative school models. That does not by itself establish opposition to every safeguard. Iowa’s current program requires an accredited nonpublic school and restricts eligible spending. Separate disputes about audits and public disclosure should not be collapsed into an assertion of no accountability of any kind.
The speaker believes Lahn lives in Kansas and fears public schools would be left behind.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:14; 00:21–00:27
Personal perception, school-policy evaluation and a prediction. The testimonial’s own experience is not an official residence determination or a measurable future school outcome.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Sand’s office identified more than $250,000 in questionable spending.
The ad credits KCRG’s February 4, 2026 coverage. The underlying Tama County Human Resources investigation totals $251,269.62: $81,376.30 federal questioned costs, $1,183.43 improper disbursements and $168,709.89 unsupported disbursements. Missing documentation is not a finding that all money was stolen. The report explicitly says some spending could not be determined to be personal or governmental.
The clip credits KWQC’s November 19, 2025 report. The official McCausland investigation identifies $63,233.44 in improper disbursements, including checks and reimbursements. It was referred to investigative and prosecutorial authorities; an audit finding is distinct from a criminal conviction.
The creative also displays $155,000 and cites more than $75,000, plus a fifth clerk arrest.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:02; 00:06–00:15
These are retained in the backlog. The opening $155,000 is visible on screen but omitted from the campaign’s posted audio transcript. The $75,000 clip credits WHO13, January 9, 2026. Exact source-event matching and the fifth-clerk series require additional verification before these enter a factual denominator. The campaign’s broader both-parties statement also needs identified cases.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Turek represented the United States at four Paralympics and won two gold medals.
IPC records and its roster history establish Athens 2004, London 2012, Rio 2016 and Tokyo 2020 participation, with gold in Rio and Tokyo and bronze in London. The Tokyo 2020 event occurred in 2021. The connected biography is counted once, rather than splitting each Games and medal into extra chart units.
TV status pending: these ratings do not enter the campaign-TV pie chart. Campaign sponsorship and exact original video verified. Complete station-level and independently sourced exact-creative television documentation remains pending.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Interstate 35 connects Iowa with the southern border.
FHWA identifies Interstate 35 as the Laredo-to-Duluth route. It passes through Iowa and reaches the Laredo border corridor. A highway connection does not, by itself, quantify Iowa drug trafficking or immigration impacts.
The March 19, 2024 House journal records Turek voting Yea in the 64–30 passage of SF 2340. The law addresses specified unlawful reentry situations, not a general power to deport every criminal. State removal orders and federal immigration authority are different. The law was enjoined before its intended effective date, and the January 2025 appellate opinion addressed federal preemption. This historical court record is not presented as a complete current docket check.
I-35 is one of the country’s busiest highways; both parties failed to fix immigration; Turek would work with Trump.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:02; 00:07–00:18
The undefined busiest-highway superlative lacks a metric and comparison year. The broad blame statement is political interpretation; the Trump cooperation line is a future promise. They are excluded from the numeric denominator.
Mariannette Miller Meeks — The Doctor in the House
Responsible campaign: Mariannette Miller Meeks. Creative: The Doctor in the House. Released: 2026-05-04. Review: 2 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Original campaign upload dated May 4. Independent reporting identifies this exact creative as the campaign’s first television ad before the June primary; individual station airings are not logged here.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Miller-Meeks enlisted in the Army, worked as a nurse and became a doctor.
The official House biography identifies 24 years of Army service as a private, nurse and ophthalmologist. This supports the connected career claim and the doctor-in-the-House description, counted together once. It does not establish the outcomes of her subsequent health-care policies.
A long health-care background is supported by her service as a nurse and doctor. The literal one-job wording compresses distinct roles: the official biography also records Iowa public-health leadership from 2010 to 2014, state Senate service and U.S. House service beginning in 2021. Medical credentials do not make every later legislative action clinical practice.
Insurance companies are ripping people off and made prices too high; nobody should go broke from illness.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:20–00:29
The creative identifies no insurer, premium series, market, period or price comparison. The blame statement and affordability principle are political interpretation rather than a sufficiently specified numerical assertion. Specific insurance-price and coverage claims remain available for separate reviews when evidence identifies their scope.
