Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
Original ads, claims and chart catch-up
Nine original ad reviews receive 13 new factual scores, primary records and explicit denominator checks. Four new campaign TV reviews add nine scores. The expressly endorsed Dale TV ad additionally qualifies with two existing scores and one new tariff score. Independent outside-group reviews remain excluded. Earlier reviews and debate coverage remain preserved.
Archive catch-up: earlier release dates below do not imply these ads aired in the latest discovery window. Charts remain partial samples. A zero-claim chart means insufficient qualifying reviewed evidence.
Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
What changed in the pie charts
Rob Sand and Josh Turek have expanded archive dates. Prove It adds issue-specific claims to an existing creative without counting its earlier 700-vote claim again. Hard adds only its verified career claim. Independent outside-group reviews remain outside the pies. Dale now qualifies under the existing expressly-endorsed rule, with its DCCC payer identified; two existing creative scores and the new tariff score enter once. Its release-only finance score remains excluded.
Candidate
Before
After
Added TV claims
Rob Sand
10
12
+2
Josh Turek
9
15
+6
Christina Bohannan
4
7
+3
Sarah Trone Garriott
11
12
+1
Across the site: 85 → 97 factual TV-ad claims and 34 → 38 distinct qualifying creatives. These are partial reviewed samples. Independent outside-group reviews and TV-pending creatives stay outside the pie; unscored statements never enter the denominator.
Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
Mariannette Miller Meeks — No Individual Stocks
Candidate referenced: Mariannette Miller Meeks. Creative: No Individual Stocks. Released: 2026-09-01. Review: 1 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
TV status pending: these ratings do not enter the campaign-TV pie chart. Original campaign upload verified; exact television documentation remains pending. The Iowa Standard item is a republished campaign release, not independent verification. Its Bohannan finance/Social Security assertions are release-only and are not scored as lines in this creative.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Her 2025 annual disclosure, filed May 10, 2026, lists mutual funds and other retirement/fixed accounts rather than individual-company shares, with no Schedule B transactions disclosed. Fund exposure to stocks differs from directly holding individual stocks. This supports the reported portfolio, not a continuously audited account balance on the September release date; the filing is self-reported and has statutory reporting thresholds.
She wrote legislation that will block congressional insider trading.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:15–00:20
The original January H.R. 7008 identifies Bryan Steil as introducer and Miller-Meeks among its cosponsors. Official records separately establish that she introduced the REVEAL Act on September 16, after this September 1 release. That later bill supports subsequent sponsorship but cannot establish when she drafted it or which measure this earlier ad meant. Drafting, cosponsoring, House passage and enacted law are distinct. A complete authorship determination for the release date remains pending.
Members of both parties profit from inside regulatory knowledge, except her.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:10
The creative identifies no member, transaction, nonpublic tip or adjudicated case. Stock gains alone do not prove unlawful insider use. Sections 3–4 of the 2012 STOCK Act already prohibit members using nonpublic information for private profit and affirm securities-law insider-trading restrictions. Banning ownership more broadly is a different proposed reform. The unnamed accusation and rigged-system characterization remain unscored.
Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
Josh Turek — Prove It
Candidate referenced: Josh Turek. Creative: Prove It. Released: 2026-08-19. Review: 3 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Adds three issue-specific reviews to the existing creative; the earlier 700-vote rating is unchanged.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Turek voted for bipartisan bills aimed at reducing costs.
Official roll calls show Turek voting with Republicans on HF 2514 (86–3), which makes children of child-care workers eligible for assistance, and HF 2529 (57–33), concerning diesel exhaust fluid repair. HF 2514 was signed April 9 and effective July 1, 2026. Votes for cost-related proposals are supported; these records do not measure every household’s savings or certify that every proposal became law. The narrower child-care eligibility is important context.
The April 19, 2024 House roll call records Turek voting Yea on SF 2442, passed 68–24 with members of both parties. Its official history records enactment. This supports the ad’s vote claim, rather than a claim that all Iowans obtained identical savings.
HF 924 passed the House 79–18 on March 25, 2025 with Turek voting Yea; the official history records signing April 18 and a July 1 effective date. The proposal changed minimum ages for acquiring or carrying weapons. Gun-rights protection is the campaign’s policy description, not a judicial holding or removal of every firearm restriction.
The 700-vote statement repeats an already reviewed claim.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:04–00:26
The existing numerical review and score are preserved, and are not added a second time. KCRG identifies the campaign’s majority-of-Republicans definition and cautions that agreement includes routine legislation. Praise attributed to politicians and newspapers is opinion; promised future cooperation is not an achieved Senate result.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Two original uploads, yR0LY_3Nwy8 and kHCC7FnIBQ8, contain the same reviewed spoken creative and count once.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Working families are losing coverage because of Trump’s Medicaid cuts.
CBO documents that the 2025 reconciliation law reduces projected Medicaid enrollment and increases the future uninsured population. That supports a real coverage-loss risk, but not a complete count of people already losing coverage when this April ad aired. CMS’s major community-engagement requirement begins January 1, 2027 unless a state implements earlier. Other provisions have different dates. Current enrollment declines can have several causes; projected losses and observed April losses must remain distinct.
USDA’s direct-loss research establishes that retaliatory tariffs can damage agricultural exports. Contemporary April 2026 reporting documents soybean-market harm following the 2025 trade conflict, alongside renewed Chinese buying and assistance. Lower commodity prices, competition, input costs and war also matter. The older USDA estimate is mechanism evidence, not a measured 2026 loss total or proof that every Iowa farmer was harmed.
His published positions support the stated opposition. That is a position claim, not a federal roll-call record. Contrary to a possible inference, Iowa’s July 11, 2023 journal lists Turek absent or not voting on final passage of HF 732, not voting Nay. Public opposition and attendance on a particular vote are different facts.
Washington corruption and Trump’s war are blamed; Turek promises to fight for change.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:07–00:17; 00:23–00:30
Broad blame, motive, metaphor and prospective commitments. No specified transaction or measurable achieved Senate outcome is established by these lines. No release-only surgery, medal or childhood claim is added to this creative’s scores.
Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
Rob Sand — Family Tradition
Candidate referenced: Rob Sand. Creative: Family Tradition. Released: 2026-05-01. Review: 2 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Original spoken creative and selected on-screen frames checked. Release-only economic and voucher claims are not inserted into this TV ad.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Sand created efficiency programs as state auditor.
The official Auditor biography records creation of PIE, and contemporary 2019 Iowa reporting documents its launch and tour. This supports program creation and its cost-saving purpose, not a quantified, independently audited statewide savings total. The comedic costumes are not evidence of an actual nineteenth-century family program.
SF 478 restricted access to categories of records and substituted interagency arbitration for litigation, with an effective date of July 1, 2023. Those are material limits on audit powers. The text retains exceptions for auditing standards, other legal requirements and suspected theft; it does not abolish the office or all authority to investigate misspending. Subsequent official investigations demonstrate continued powers. Motives behind enactment are political interpretation.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:13–00:16
The original screen attributes this to the Waterloo newspaper. Individual audit findings support the existence of misspending, but a complete historical comparison using a consistent definition has not been reproduced. Unsupported spending, questioned costs, improper disbursements and proven theft are not interchangeable. This superlative remains unscored pending that comparison.
Sand promises accountability and mandatory jail for stealing public funds.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:09; 00:21–00:30
A proposed future policy, not a claim that a new mandatory minimum already exists. Family thrift and the darkness metaphor are personal/value statements.
Outside/coordinated sponsor: excluded from current own-campaign TV charts. AFP Action is an independent outside sponsor. None of its scores enters Hinson’s own campaign-TV pie.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
The updated original Tax Foundation model puts Iowa’s average modeled 2026 change at $3,130 per filer against a prior-law scenario with expiring tax provisions. It is an average, not a guaranteed payment or every family’s return; later years vary. The model includes allocated business-tax effects. JCT publishes both present-law and current-policy baselines, which answer different questions. A claimed saving relative to expiration is not the same as a reduction from last year’s actual bill.
The screen cites House Roll Call 182 of March 30, 2023. It verifies Hinson’s vote for the Lower Energy Costs Act, not by itself enacted policy or measured job and price effects. EIA’s production series and analysis show an ongoing production-record trend, including 2024 and 2025, and credit drilling productivity and efficiency. A policy-support vote does not isolate Hinson’s causal contribution to national output, prices or employment.
Hinson delivered the largest middle-class tax cuts in history.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:05–00:09
No consistent middle-class definition, inflation adjustment, denominator or comparison period is identified. JCT supports evaluation of the law’s distributional effects; it does not by itself certify this historical superlative. The claim remains unscored rather than treating an unspecified ranking as established.
Outside/coordinated sponsor: excluded from current own-campaign TV charts. Spoken creative and selected frames reviewed; no complete frame-by-frame citation audit. Exact station airings remain unconfirmed.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
The ad predicts insurance bans, higher taxes and energy costs under socialism.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:25
These are broad predictions attributed to an undefined socialist group and then associated with Turek. His published platform proposes a public insurance option; that does not itself document a ban on all private plans. The reviewed platform also does not establish a general fossil-fuel ban. These limits are contrary context, not a guarantee of every future vote. No identified enacted Turek measure is cited in the reviewed spoken creative or sampled frames. Undefined ideological labels and predictions receive no factual score.
Turek cannot be trusted to stop his party; more government means less freedom.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:30
Trust, ideological characterization and future behavior are political judgments. Runaway Train additionally invokes police defunding and open borders without identifying a specific Turek vote in the creative. No outside-group statement is transferred to his own campaign chart.
Outside/coordinated sponsor: excluded from current own-campaign TV charts. Spoken creative and selected frames reviewed; no complete frame-by-frame citation audit. Exact station airings remain unconfirmed.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
The ad predicts insurance bans, higher taxes and energy costs under socialism.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:25
These are broad predictions attributed to an undefined socialist group and then associated with Turek. His published platform proposes a public insurance option; that does not itself document a ban on all private plans. The reviewed platform also does not establish a general fossil-fuel ban. These limits are contrary context, not a guarantee of every future vote. No identified enacted Turek measure is cited in the reviewed spoken creative or sampled frames. Undefined ideological labels and predictions receive no factual score.
Turek cannot be trusted to stop his party; more government means less freedom.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:00–00:30
Trust, ideological characterization and future behavior are political judgments. Runaway Train additionally invokes police defunding and open borders without identifying a specific Turek vote in the creative. No outside-group statement is transferred to his own campaign chart.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Supplemental tariff review; preserves all existing ratings. Payer and candidate approval are separately documented. No release-only finance line is treated as spoken in the ad.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
CBO’s 2026 outlook finds that higher 2025 tariffs raise imported-goods and input prices and reduce purchasing power. This supports the qualitative cost claim, not identical effects on every Iowan or a guaranteed saving from an unspecified repeal. CBO projections depend on the tariff regime and timing; policies have changed. Repeal is a future proposal.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: 00:21–00:26
The original spoken creative includes her approval, and the DCCC release explicitly describes coordinated spending with the campaign. The published methodology includes campaign-produced, paid-for or expressly endorsed TV creatives. This ad therefore qualifies through documented express endorsement, while DCCC remains the identified payer. The inventory responsibility classification is reconciled to that rule; independent outside-group ads remain excluded. Earlier registration and sponsor-release finance reviews remain preserved, not scored again.
The chart also includes two unchanged creative ratings from the September 29 Dale review: the on-screen Republican identification (5/7) and the drug/insurance-price statement (4/7). This supplement adds the tariff rating (3/7). The release-only campaign-finance rating remains excluded from the TV denominator.
Campaign-ad backlog · second review · October 7, 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott — Hard
Candidate referenced: Sarah Trone Garriott. Creative: Hard. Released: 2026-09-08. Review: 1 scored factual claims; opinions and unresolved items separately retained.
Qualifying campaign-identified TV creative; individual airings unconfirmed. Original campaign video recovered and its spoken creative matches the sponsor-posted transcript. Career and private-anecdote claims remain distinct; locators identify the opening and closing account rather than exact seconds.
Claim wording below is a research paraphrase. Locators are approximate. Context includes contrary evidence and limits; evidence classifications do not establish intent.
Trone Garriott worked as a hospital chaplain.
Hogwash Meter: 2 · Mostly Supported · Video: Opening career account; exact video timecode unavailable
University of Iowa archival biography confirms chaplain work. Her seminary’s 2021 institutional profile specifically describes hospital chaplaincies in Chicago and Philadelphia. These support the career claim; they do not independently confirm the ad’s particular first-night baptism account or frequency of individual patient encounters.
She baptized two babies on her first night while NICU staff worked to save them.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: Opening anecdote; exact timecode unavailable
A specific personal recollection in the posted transcript. Independent contemporaneous confirmation has not been located. Unverified here does not mean false; the private patient episode remains outside the numeric denominator.
She will confront corruption and accountability problems in Washington.
Hogwash Meter: Not scored — opinion, promise or unresolved verification · Video: Closing contrast; exact timecode unavailable
Prospective commitments and political contrast. The explicit no-town-hall and 95-percent party-voting figures appear in the sponsor’s surrounding release, not its posted creative transcript. This supplemental review corrects that distinction without deleting the older review.
